Trump Needs only 46% of Remaining Delegates to Win

As we predicted and posted on April 2nd, as of Tuesday April 26th Ted Cruz was officially eliminated from winning the Republican nomination outright.

Our overall projections on April 2nd were very close to the actual results.  We predicted on April 2nd that Trump would have 953 delegates after the April 26 primaries (needing only 284 delegates for the nomination) and that Cruz would have 550 delegates as of April 26 (needing 687 to win the nomination). We also predicted that only 634 delegates would remain as of today and therefore Cruz would need more delegates than would be available.

After sweeping all five primaries that occurred Tuesday – Connecticut, Rhode Island, Delaware, Maryland and Pennsylvania – Trump has 950 delegates, Cruz has 560 with 622 remaining. There are fewer delegates remaining than we originally projected because the delegates in Wyoming, Colorado and North Dakota were allocated in corrupt voter-less elections. But our April 2nd projections for Trump and Cruz were very, very close.