Speculation began as soon as the polls closed in 2016 that Donald Trump’s deep unpopularity among Democrats and independents would make Larry Hogan a one-term governor.
The “Trump effect” was supposed to diminish Mr. Hogan’s re-election chances due to their shared party affiliation. Public polling since Mr. Trump’s election, including our mid-September Goucher Poll, suggests that this particular political prediction has not come to fruition.